3

Synergy Traders #10, Day 1: Best 2020 Trading Strategies

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This event was created by TradeOutLoud.com and TimingResearch.com and these presentations were recorded on Friday, January 31th, 2020. These are the Day 1 presentations, watch Day 2 here.

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Synergy Traders #10.1: Fact Backed Rules Based Trading with Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com

Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #10.2: “Best Options Strategy We’ve EVER Used!” with Matt Choi of CertusTrading.com

Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #10.3: Discover the Power of the MTM S.M.A.R.T. Income System with Dan Passarelli of MarketTakerMentoring.com

Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #10.4: How To Pick High-Probability Option Trades with Erik Gebhard of Altavest.com

Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #10.5: The Perfect Recipe for a Winning Trade Plan with Valerie Fox of ConsistentFXProfits.com

Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #10.6: Trading the Chaos with John Thomas of MadHedgeFundTrader.com

Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Analyze Your Trade Episode #110

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Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Symbols Discussed This Episode:
MSFT, ROKU, BMY, CSCO, AMD, LITE, VIAC, PFE, JBL, NVDA, CRON, HTHT, MDB, MCK, CIEN

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AYT012820

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Crowd Forecast News Episode #252

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Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

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On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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CFN012720

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Crowd Forecast News Report #331

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The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport012620.pdf

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (January 27th to 31st)?

Higher: 30.8%
Lower: 69.2%
Higher/Lower Difference: -38.5%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Responses Submitted This Week: 
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 77% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 69.2% predicting Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 59% chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 0.77% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 69.2% predicting Lower with a greater average confidence from those who are predicting Higher. Similar conditions have occurred 13 times in the previous 330 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct 77% of the time but with an average S&P500 move of 0.47% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 77% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 53.1%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• It follows the current trend.
• Large cap earnings will drive market to higher
• seasonality
• Long term trend

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Virus
• Corona virus slowing down the world for at least one quarter
• Corona Virus
• Chinese virus spread and fears. Market is due for a correction.
• That varse in Janpan
• Market has risen much more than justified based on corporate earnings. The last time that the market looked this overbought following a long leg up was in late Jan 2018; and then the market dropped hard.
• Big week for earnings disappointments. The virus continues to spread.
• Natural pullback
• Tda, tasty trade
• It’s that time of the year.
• Technical
• the China outbreak continues and will worsen
• Impeachment trail
• cause it closed deeper on Friday last week
• It’s time for a correction, if it goes lower by Friday than this week ending 24/1/20 then lower again.

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Question #4. What procedures do you use for trade management?

• risk
• stops
• Stop Loss
• support / resistance
• Stop sell or buy back loss orders
• Usually about equal levels spread over several stocks.
• Trail using moving averages
• Stop loss
• I am still looking for a good trading-journal, that fits my needs…. I still did not find that. Then I need to grow a tiny account to a bigger one, which makes trade management possible. You need at least a few couple of thousand bucks to make tradde Management possibl, right? You can´t do that with a 1k-account. After reaching a mangable trade size of 2-3k then there is it makeable to hold on managemnet-rules as 1-2% max.risk per trade. For all that I still need a trading-journal to track my trades first…
• charts
• stops
• stops
• Volatility

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none

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Join us for this week’s shows:

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Crowd Forecast News Episode #
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday,
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!

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Analyze Your Trade Episode #
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday,
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!

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Synergy Traders Event #10
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Thursday, January 11th, 2020
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!

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Crowd Forecast News Survey #331

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Do you think that next week the S&P500 will move…

Higher or Lower? Click here to go to this week’s survey!

Please submit your response by:
6PM ET (3PM PT) on Monday, 1/26/2020

Plus, give you opinion on this week’s new question:
What procedures do you use for trade management?

Higher or Lower? Click here to go to this week’s survey!

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Crowd Forecast News Report #330

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The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport012020.pdf

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Tuesday’s open to Friday’s close (January 21st to 24th)?

Higher: 69.2%
Lower: 30.8%
Higher/Lower Difference: 38.5%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 70.5%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 69.6%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 72.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: -2.9%

Responses Submitted This Week: 42
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 33.5

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 59% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 69.2% predicting Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 65% chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 1.79% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 69.2% predicting Higher with a greater average confidence from those who are predicting Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 34 times in the previous 329 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct 58.8% of the time but with an average S&P500 move of 0.002% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 59% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 53.2%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 60.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• From a Canadian perspective, Donald Trump is President!!
• Fed announced continue purchase in repo market until April, lack of fear in the markets by continuation of buying the dips. Dumb money continues to flow in and FOMO.
• news is positive no surprises
• trend
• Trend is up this January. Trade deals have been signed between USA China mexico and canada.
• it is on a healthy uptrend with short wicks
• On the fence. Correction sometime?????
• Euphoric optimism
• Tariff’s resolved and impeachment resolved
• best six months of the year historically
• market heading for a meltup garbage stocks rallying huge upside then craaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaash!!!!!!!!!!!!!
• momentum
• history
• Expecting favorable earnings to help maintain the uptrend for a bit longer.
• Good earnings reporting influences market.
• Breaking out to new highs, dips are bought

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Impeachment Trial Of the President of the United States starts and this ( may ) have an effect on the Markets , maybe !
• Market is overbought. Profit-taking to continue into earnings season.
• It’s up soo much. Probably consolidates her for awhile until it decides which direction it wants to move based on economic data. If numbers keep coming out positive then it will move higher. Technically it hasn’t broken any of my moving averages, so can’t say it will move higher.
• profit taking
• I know it will be higher as TRUMPs men mnuchin and his group is using Feds flood of cash to buy buy buy. They are destroying the market even though nobody real seems to be buying
• Market is short term overvalued driven by extreme complacency and greed on part of the traders. Hence, the market is overdue for a pullback or at least consolidation.
• Correction coming

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Question #4. What trading-related questions or topics would you like the experts to discuss on future episodes of the weekly Crowd Forecast News show and/or which experts would you like to see on the show who haven’t been guests yet? (The show is off this coming week, but back on January 27th.)

• A honest discussion on how the very small option trader can win
• Good trading strategies.
• gold,facebook,tesla
• Monthly income with options
• What is a melt-up
• Topics about option programs such as calendar spreads, iron condor options, diagonal spreads,delta neutral portfolios.
• How high will debt have to grow before it will start affecting the markets and government policies?Cannabis and Cannabis related Stocks – Talk to the CEO’s , Company Leaders – which way are they going to go ? – Predictions with a possible another 15 States may go Legal in 2020 ?
• How to trade gap on S&P500 (SPY) or E mini. Thanks.
• How they destroy the US markets by never letting it to be natural free flowing market.
• rotation

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• The last stock episode was very good. Harry Boxer explained very clearly and I would like to see him more.
• I am becoming so tired of US markets that i will rather move to another country and open CFD accounts to do trading with other instruments that are NOT USA manipulated

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Join us for this week’s shows:

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Crowd Forecast News Episode #252
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, January 27th, 2020
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!

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Analyze Your Trade Episode #110
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, January 28th, 2020
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!

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Synergy Traders Event #10
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Friday-Saturday, Jan 31-Feb 1st, 2020
– TBA

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!

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0

Crowd Forecast News Survey #330

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Do you think that next week the S&P500 will move…

Higher or Lower? Click here to go to this week’s survey!

Please submit your response by:
6PM ET (3PM PT) on Monday, 1/20/2020

Plus, give you opinion on this week’s new question:
What trading-related questions or topics would you like the experts to discuss on future episodes of the weekly Crowd Forecast News show and/or which experts would you like to see on the show who haven’t been guests yet? (The show is off this coming week, but back on January 27th.)

Higher or Lower? Click here to go to this week’s survey!

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Analyze Your Trade Episode #109

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Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Harry Boxer of TheTechTrader.com
– Dean Jenkins of FollowMeTrades.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline:
[coming soon]

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AYT011420

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Crowd Forecast News Episode #251

[AD] PDF: 10 Strategies for Success

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Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

---

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com
– Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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[AD] PDF: 10 Strategies for Success

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CFN011320

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Crowd Forecast News Report #329

[AD] PDF: 10 Strategies for Success

---

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport011220.pdf

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (January 13th to 17th)?

Higher: 42.3%
Lower: 57.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: -15.4%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 69.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 66.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 70.9%
Higher/Lower Difference: -4.1%

Responses Submitted This Week: 27
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 33.3

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 65% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 65.5% predicting Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 52% chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 1.49% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 57.7% predicting Lower with a greater average confidence from those who are predicting Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 31 times in the previous 328 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Lower) being correct only 35% of the time but with an average S&P500 move of 0.47% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 65% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 53.4%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 62.7%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 72.7%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• well — wave 5 still continues
• Seems to be general direction.
• Earnings and nobody fears the markets overseas
• Historically best six months of year
• 1/15 U.S. and China are signing the Phase I agreement.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Re-bound from good week
• Index taking a rest maybe needs to go sideways for a while
• long overdue
• The S&P has been at the upper Bollinger band the most recent 2 days. Looking for a pullback to the 50 day moving avg at 3220 or below.
• Too many stocks topping out
• Profit-taking in front of earnings season.
• slowing economy
• Market reached a short term peak last thursday. Earnings likely to be weaker than expected

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Question #4. What procedures do you use to monitor and evaluate your trading results and progress over time?

• Great Question.
• Notebook
• p/l
• New worth
• I keep track of which trades yield positive results and which negative. Then I can gravitate to the more successful types of trades, and avoid the others.
• Quarterly review
• watching growth of management teams

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none

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Join us for this week’s shows:

---

Crowd Forecast News Episode #251
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, January 13th, 2020
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com
– Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com
– E. Matthew “Whiz” Buckley of TopGunOptions.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!

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Analyze Your Trade Episode #109
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, January 14th, 2020
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Harry Boxer of TheTechTrader.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!

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Synergy Traders Event #10
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Friday-Saturday, Jan 31st-Feb 1st, 2020
– 10AM-3PM ET (both days)

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!

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