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Crowd Forecast News Episode #279

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Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

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On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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Crowd Forecast News Report #370

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 64.3%
Lower: 35.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: 28.6%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 60.0%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 59.4%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 61.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -1.6%

Responses Submitted This Week: 15

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 64% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.7%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 52.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Momentum
• too much un known
• The economic comeback
• Trend up continues
• The trend is intact

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• minor pullback then resume up until election 100 points lower
• No stimulus deal, election getting closer
• Last week’s high was on Monday; and it was approached on Friday; but then turned down toward the close. Expecting continuation of this latest down move.
• technical analysis

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Question #4. What topics related to trading or investing do you most want to learn more about?

• Economy
• Futures
• Not sure

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Which direction the economy going?

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Synergy Traders #22: VIX & News Event Trading

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This event was created by TradeOutLoud.com and TimingResearch.com and these presentations were recorded on Thursday, October 22nd, 2020. All of these presentations cover VIX & News Event Trading.

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Synergy Traders #22.01: VIX and News Market Intro with The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #22.02: How Automated/Algo Trading May Benefit You in Volatile Markets with Erik Gebhard of Altavest.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #22.03: How to Trade VIX and VIX Options with John Nyaradi of TradingGods.net
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #22.04: Profiting from 2020 Extreme Market Gyrations with Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #22.05: Profiting from Volatility and Market-Moving News with Samantha LaDuc of LaDucTrading.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #22.06: Trading News with Kyle Kinne of Ninjacators.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #22.07: How an Elevated VIX Creates Attractive Option Opportunities: Using Ratio Spreads and Butterflies in a High Volatility Environment with Carley Garner of DeCarleyTrading.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Analyze Your Trade Episode #142

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Symbols discussed today: AMD, SQ, MSFT, AAPL, DKNG, WWE, and more!

Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Norman Hallett of TheDisciplinedTrader.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

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Crowd Forecast News Episode #278

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Some of the topics in today’s episode:

• Neil’s biggest mistake of the year;
• Stocks to trade into the election;
• Commodities and cannabis stocks to watch.

Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

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On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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0

Crowd Forecast News Report #369

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 64.3%
Lower: 35.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: 28.6%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 60.0%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 59.4%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 61.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -1.6%

Responses Submitted This Week: 15

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 64% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.7%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 52.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Momentum
• too much un known
• The economic comeback
• Trend up continues
• The trend is intact

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• minor pullback then resume up until election 100 points lower
• No stimulus deal, election getting closer
• Last week’s high was on Monday; and it was approached on Friday; but then turned down toward the close. Expecting continuation of this latest down move.
• technical analysis

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Question #4. What topics related to trading or investing do you most want to learn more about?

• Economy
• Futures
• Not sure

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Which direction the economy going?

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Crowd Forecast News Report #368

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The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 73.3%
Lower: 26.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: 46.7%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 65.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 69.6%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 53.8%
Higher/Lower Difference: 15.8%

Responses Submitted This Week: 16

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 63% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

---

[AD] PDF: 10 Strategies for Success

---

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.9%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

---

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• correction over
• S&P moved above 3400, and looks like it wants to stay above. With hope that Congress will pass a stimulus package sometime, looking for S&P to continue up.
• Market does not want to go down, bounced from support.
• The technicals are pointing higher I think the market sees a trump win
• Seasonality COT Eminies with commercials are starting to sell off traditionally due to rising prices short to mid term

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• trump ..his health
• Uncertainty just before the election produces a selection of profits
• It seems to be moving up slowernow!
• Highly overbought with last week’s rally. No progress on stimulus

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Question #4. What topics related to trading or investing do you most want to learn more about?

• connection/relation between different currencies
• none
• Everything
• Psychology of trading

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none

0

Analyze Your Trade Episode #141

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Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Mike Pisani of SmartOptionTrading.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

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0

Crowd Forecast News Episode #277

[AD] PDF: 10 Strategies for Success

---

Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

---

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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---

0

Crowd Forecast News Report #367

[AD] PDF: 10 Strategies for Success

---

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport100420.pdf

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 46.7%
Lower: 53.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: -6.7%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 69.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 65.7%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 72.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: -6.8%

Responses Submitted This Week: 17
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 24.6

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 63% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

---

[AD] PDF: 10 Strategies for Success

---

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 53.0%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

---

---

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Without a vaccine and before the election this market has nothing on which to base a major move in either direction
• up into election
• my work says the SPX is going higher on Monday
• It’s a toss up. Depends a lot on the health of Trump

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• With the POTUS in the hospital, uncertainty has heightened on top of the election outcome. I’m scared too!
• Price on the S&P500 daily chart closed below the 50 SMA. Price at Resistance on weekly chart. Volatility high. Market indecisive. (4 weekly dojis). Market jittery due to Geopolitical conditions. President Trump in the hospital due to testing positive for the Corona Virus. Market does not like uncertainty.
• Momentum is slipping downward and interest in buying is waning, influenced by the large effect of covid on our economy.
• The trend has changed to down and it looks like the bounce is over. Trump and covid can only bring uncertainty.

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Question #4. What topics related to trading or investing do you most want to learn more about?

• futures trading
• I can make money every single trade I take.
• OPTION credit and debit Spreads rules
• Always trying to learn more

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none

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