Archive

Monthly Archives: December 2020

Analyze Your Trade Episode #144

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Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Doc Severson of ReadySet.trade
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Symbols discussed today: AMD, CSCO, MRNA, V, NVDA, SLV, GBTC, and more!


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Crowd Forecast News Episode #285

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On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com

Topics Covered:

  • The Option Professor’s outlook for 2021
  • Materials & Commodities: where they are headed
  • Fed action and interest rate concerns
  • Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin activity

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


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1

Crowd Forecast News Week #379

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 61.5%
Lower: 38.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: 23.1%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 71.5%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 73.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 68.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 5.8%

Responses Submitted This Week: 13


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Christmas rally?
• EOY Seasonality
• reapeat preformance
• New Year rally on stock market will push S&P 500 index to up direction movement.
• Year end trading
• The SPY continues to trade in a narrowing upward sloping channel of $5’ish width, bounced off the lower bottom on Dec.22, and now meandering towards a top target of $372’ish before likely rebounding to the lower side. In addition, both the DIA and QQQ are performing similarly in narrow upward sloping channels with DIA top target of $303.5’ish and QQQ at $313.50’ish. The SPY typically posts positive returns in the last week of December, but all markets continue to be overbought and surviving on Fed life support.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Elliot wave indicates a near term small pullback
• The price does not 4.week higher high
• End of year slow trading volume


Question #4. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Happy New Year 2021 to every person on the earth!
• The passing of a US Stimulus package should sustain the markets’ artificial fix into the New Year!?! However, watch out for January seasonal weaknesses with exception of technologies typically posting modest gains.


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2

Synergy Traders #26: Commodities Trading and Investing 2020 Conference, Day 2

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This event was created by TradeOutLoud.com and TimingResearch.com and these presentations were recorded on Tuesday, December 22nd, 2020. Day 1 archive here.


Synergy Traders #26.11: Reading Candles Like A Professionals (applied to currencies) with Norman Hallett of TheDisciplinedTrader.com

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Synergy Traders #26.12: The Next Monster Moves with Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com

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Synergy Traders #26.13: Live Trading with Andrew Keene of AlphaShark.com

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Synergy Traders #26.14: Price Action Anomalies in Gold and Bonds and the Perils of Backtesting with Michael Harris of PriceActionLab.com (first time guest!)

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Synergy Traders #26.15: Trade Selection Process with Adam Webb of Blue Creek Capital (first time guest!)

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Synergy Traders #26.16: This Gold Bull Market has Just Begun with Adrian Day of AdrianDay.com (first time guest!)

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Synergy Traders #26.17: 2021 A Commodity Bull Market with Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com

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Commodities Market Analysis with David Morgan of TheMorganReport.com (first time guest!)

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Synergy Traders #26: Commodities Trading and Investing 2020 Conference, Day 1

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This event was created by TradeOutLoud.com and TimingResearch.com and these presentations were recorded on Monday, December 21st, 2020. Day 2 archive here.


Synergy Traders #26.01: How to Capture the Next Gold Peak with Rich Checkan of AssetStrategies.com (first time guest!)

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Synergy Traders #26.02: 3-Point Price Action Formula to Spot Market Reversals with Silas Peters of SeasonalSwingTrader.com (first time guest!)

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Synergy Traders #26.03: All that Glitters is Gold with Geoffrey Smith of DTITrader.com (first time guest!)

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Synergy Traders #26.04: Mojo Futures Trading with ProTrader Mike of MojoDayTrading.com

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Synergy Traders #26.05: Trading Commodity Inflation, Reflation, Reopening Plays with Samantha LaDuc of LaDucTrading.com

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Synergy Traders #26.06: Option Professor Commodities Market Update with The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com

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Synergy Traders #26.07: Gold Speculating with Less Risk Using Option Spreads and Small Futures with Carley Garner of DeCarleyTrading.com

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Synergy Traders #26.08: How and Why To Sell Commodity Options with John Nyaradi of TradingGods.net

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Synergy Traders #26.09: Why Commodities Are the Next Big Thing with Michele ‘Mish’ Schneider of MarketGauge.com

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Synergy Traders #26.10: Top 10 Commodity Super Cycle Trading Systems with Erik Gebhard of Altavest.com

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Crowd Forecast News Week #378

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 68.4%
Lower: 31.6%
Higher/Lower Difference: 36.8%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 69.7%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 69.6%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 70.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -0.4%

Responses Submitted This Week: 19


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• TINA
• FED injection
• Vaccines being delivered and stimulus will be passed
• Coming off FED, now another vaccine, Christmas rally, and thinking stimulus passes before Christmas.
• basedon volitility index
• every pullback is answered with a long move, the daily RSI is still long
• Vaccination against C-19 will start soon & Tesla will be part of S&P 500 index.
• Long term trend
• Christmas Rally

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• I’m net long
• o/due for correction
• elliot wave and fibs
• The high price at this time will probably provoke the pre-Christmas collection of profits.
• Evening star candle yesterday and a down day today for SPY. Jupiter Saturn conjunction on Monday. So Monday could be a big down day.


Question #4. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• A short time pullback before heading higher
• Merry X-Mas & happy coming New Year 2021 to all!


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Crowd Forecast News Episode #284

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Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:


On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com
– Sam Bourgi of TradingGods.net
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


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Crowd Forecast News Week #377

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 85.7%
Lower: 14.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: 71.4%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 70.0%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 65.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 95.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -29.2%

Responses Submitted This Week: 7


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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• vaccine, mainly
• I don’t believe that a “correction” is imminent this week but sometime soon* CV 19 vaccine distribution and greed by institutions will drive it even higher for now* Stimulus talks if positive will drive it up also*
• SPY moved up Friday afternoon through the close. 9 SMA crossed above 20 SMA and 50 SMA on 15 minute chart. SPY peaked Wednesday morning at the open and moved downward until Friday afternoon. MACD, RSI, MFI, and OBV are positive for upward move.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• It is reaching a threshold of holding on, to lower. My indicators are showing lower after a short pullback on the Hour charts.


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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• My opinion: On December 14, 2020, the President of the USA will not vote and the S & P500 will not change radically.
• Because of multiple factors in the world, We will continue to be on the Roller Coaster that We have been on in 2020* Greed by institutions have TOTALLY driven the markets the way that they have been going, up and down, but more up than down recently* Hang on for the continuation of a Wild ride that has been taking place* :-)
• There is a 20% chance of crappy news on Monday, I can’t control that with present means.


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Synergy Traders #25: LIVE Trading

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This event was created by TradeOutLoud.com and TimingResearch.com and these presentations were recorded on Tuesday, December 8th, 2020.


Synergy Traders #25.01: LIVE Trading Intro and TradeOutLoud Trading Room with Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com
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Synergy Traders #25.02: SENIORS ONLY: A Simple Trading Plan For Us!” with Norman Hallett of TheDisciplinedTrader.com
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Synergy Traders #25.03: Day Trading using Elliott Wave and Fibonacci with Michael Filighera of TradersHelpingTraders.com
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Synergy Traders #25.04: Permanent Volatility with Mark Sebastian of OptionPit.com
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Synergy Traders #25.05: Professional Scalping for Consistency with Saul Lokier of The5ers.com
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Synergy Traders #25.06: The Perfect Trading System with ProTrader Mike of MojoDayTrading.com
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Synergy Traders #25.07: Welcome to the Wavy Tunnel PRO Trading Room with Jody Samuels & Neil Bradford of FXTradersEDGE.com
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Synergy Traders #25.08: Swing Trading with Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com (Anka’s 2nd session)
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Synergy Traders #25.09: Live Trading Chases, Swings & Trends – Macro-to-Micro Style with Samantha LaDuc of LaDucTrading.com
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Synergy Traders #25.10: Selling Options Premium: Creating the Next Day’s Trade Plan and Loading Conditional Orders to Fill Automatically with A.J. Brown of TradingTrainer.com
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Crowd Forecast News Episode #283

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Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:


On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Sam Bourgi of TradingGods.net
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


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